Category 4 Cyclone Phailin Hits India; 13 Dead in Philippines From Typhoon Nari

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:44 PM GMT on October 12, 2013

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Very dangerous Tropical Cyclone Phailin has made landfall on the northeast coast of India near the town of Gopalpur (population 7,000) at 16 UTC (noon EDT) Saturday, October 12, 2013. Phailin was weakening substantially at landfall, due to interaction with land, and was rated a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), four hours before landfall. The pressure bottomed out at 938 mb in Gopalpur as the eye passed over, and the city reported sustained winds of 56 mph, gusting to 85 mph, in the eyewall. A 938 mb pressure is what one expects to find in a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds, using the "Dvorak technique" of satellite wind and pressure estimation. Satellite images show that Phailin's intense thunderstorms have warmed and shrunk in areal coverage, and radar out of Visakhapanam, India also shows a weakening of the storm's echoes as it pushes inland. Phailin is bringing torrential rains of over an inch per hour, as estimated by microwave satellite instruments.


Figure 1. Radar image of Phailin at landfall. Image credit: IMD.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Phailin, taken at approximately 07:30 UTC on October 12, 2013. At the time, Phailin was a top-end Category 4 storm with winds of 150 mph. Image credit: NASA.

Damage from Phailin
Phailin is the strongest tropical cyclone to affect India in fourteen years, since the great 1999 Odisha Cyclone. That storm hit with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph, and brought a storm surge of 5.9 meters (19 feet) to the coast. Phailin should be able to drive a similar-sized storm surge to the coast, since it is larger in areal extent than the 1999 cyclone (although somewhat weaker, with winds perhaps 20 - 30 mph lower.) Phailin's storm surge and Category 3 to 4 winds will cause near-catastrophic damage to a 50-mile wide swath of the coast where the eyewall comes ashore, and to the right. Hurricane Katrina was weaker at landfall than Phailin, but Katrina had hurricane-force winds that covered a much larger area, making Katrina's storm surge much more devastating than Phailin's will be. I think the main danger from Phailin will be from its winds. I am particularly concerned about Phailin's wind damage potential in the city of Brahmapur (population 350,000), the 58th largest city in India. Brahmapur lies about ten miles inland, and will likely experience sustained hurricane-force winds for several hours. Phailin's flooding potential is another huge concern, as rainfall amounts of 6 - 12 inches will fall along a swath over 100 miles inland, triggering life-threatening flash flooding.

How strong was Phailin?
Questions have been raised about the India Meteorological Department (IMD) assessments of Phailin's strength, which were considerably lower than that of the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Both centers use satellite estimates rather than direct measurements of the winds, so we don't know which center is correct. It is true that satellite estimates using the same techniques give different results for the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans--i.e., a storm with the same appearance on satellite imagery will be weaker in the Atlantic than in the Pacific (see this chart of the differences.) It may be that this is the case in the Indian Ocean as well. IMD has looked at some buoy data to try and calibrate their satellite strength estimates, but high-end tropical cyclones are uncommon enough in the Indian Ocean that I doubt we really know whether or not Indian Ocean cyclones have the same winds as a hurricane in the Atlantic with the same satellite signature. Another thing to consider is that the IMD uses 3-minute average winds for their advisories, and JTWC uses 1-minute, so the winds in the IMD advisories will be lower by at least 2%, due to the longer averaging period. This issue could be cleared up if India had its own hurricane hunter aircraft; there have been some high-level discussions about India getting a C-130 aircraft like the U.S. Air Force uses to fly into tropical cyclones and take measurements of the actual winds.


Figure 3. MODIS satellite image of Typhoon Nari, taken at approximately 02:30 UTC on October 12, 2013. At the time, Nari was a Category 1 storm with winds of 90 mph. Image credit: NASA.

Typhoon Nari hits the Philippines
Thirteen people were killed and 2.1 million people lost power on the main Philippine island of Luzon afterTyphoon Nari hit on Friday night near midnight local time. Nari was a Category 3 typhoon with 115 mph winds a few hours before landfall. The core of the storm passed about 80 miles north of the capital of Manila, sparing the capital major flooding, but the storm dumped torrential rains in excess of ten inches to the northeast of Manilla. Passage over Luzon weakened Nari to a Category 1 storm, but it is already beginning to re-organize over the South China Sea between the Philippines and Vietnam. Nari is under moderate wind shear of 15 - 20 knots, which should keep intensification relatively slow, and increasing interaction with land will act to slow intensification on Sunday and Monday. Nari could be near Category 3 strength with 115 mph winds by Monday, and landfall in Vietnam is expected around 21 UTC on Monday.

Typhoon Wipha a threat to Japan
Category 1 Typhoon Wipha is intensifying as it heads northwest towards Japan, and the storm is expected to reach major Category 3 strength by Monday. By Tuesday, Wipha will recurve to the northeast and begin weakening, passing very close to Tokyo, Japan, sometime between 00 - 12 UTC on Wednesday. High winds and heavy rains from Wipha may be a concern for the Fukushima nuclear site, where workers continue to struggle with high radiation levels in the wake of the 2011 tsunami that damaged the reactors.

98L in the Eastern Atlantic weakening
A tropical wave (Invest 98L) located midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands is headed west to west-northwest at 10 - 15 mph. Satellite loops show that 98L has lost most of its organization and heavy thunderstorms since this morning. The disturbance is under a high 20 - 30 knots of wind shear, and the shear is expected to remain high for the next three days. The UKMET model shows some weak development of 98L by early next week, but the European and GFS models do not. In their 2 pm EDT Saturday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave the disturbance 2-day development odds of 30%, and 5-day odds of 30%. 98L's projected west-northwest track is expected take it close to the Northern Lesser Antilles Islands by Wednesday, according to the 00Z Saturday run of the European model.

Thanks go to wunderground member thunderfrance for posting the link to the weather station at Gopalpur, India.

NDTV in India has a Live Blog on Phailin with the latest developments.

Jeff Masters

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446. indianobserver
7:01 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Dr. Masters, thanks so much for your coverage of cyclone Phailin. Your blogs were very informative, detailed and timely.
Member Since: October 12, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
445. Tropicsweatherpr
5:28 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN OCT 13 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE...LOCATED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

1. A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD
OR NORTHEASTWARD.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ35 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP5.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ25 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER STEWART

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14565
444. Tropicsweatherpr
5:27 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 13 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE THE LOW MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS DISTURBANCE
CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BERG
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14565
443. VR46L
5:04 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 438. whitewabit:


The drought maps can be deceiving though .. many areas have gotten rain and are not considered in drought any more .. but the loss of ground water hasn't come close to being restored ..


I appreciate that especially if you are in a drought area but its still is a terrific improvement for in particular Texas .
Oct 2011

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
442. sar2401
4:57 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting LargoFl:
any chance 98 becomes that weak nor'easter in a week or so?....

I don't think 98L survives long enough to become anything but a remnant low headed out to the North Atlantic, assuming it doesn't dissipate altogether. It's headed into more hostile conditions than it's already been in, and it has shown no propensity to intensify since it formed.

The critical day climatologically is October 20. If there are no decent lows or invests by then, the probability of one forming decreasing with each passing day. By November 10, the probability drops to about 5%. If the forecasted cold air reaches the South and into the Gulf, the probability drops to near 0%. I'm not saying it's impossible for a tropical storm to form after those date, but I am saying, if I had to place a bet with real money, it would be against storm formation, and not for storm formation.
Member Since: October 2, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 16305
441. LargoFl
4:57 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
forget 98,its been blown apart by the strong sheer...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40978
440. sunlinepr
4:57 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 435. whitewabit:


lets hope for an early turn to the NNE


Ugly trajectory... hope that or that it degrades to a TS....
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9874
439. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
4:56 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
438. whitewabit (Mod)
4:56 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 434. VR46L:


That Map looks hopeful for areas in drought but the USA looks much healthier as regards to drought now than it has for a couple of years. Hardly any deep drought at all



The drought maps can be deceiving though .. many areas have gotten rain and are not considered in drought any more .. but the loss of ground water hasn't come close to being restored ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 365 Comments: 31753
437. MiamiHurricanes09
4:56 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Wipha is definitely a very impressive typhoon, but the lack of intense convection around the eye will likely suppress it from becoming a category 5, in the short term at least. Nevertheless, it still has another 24 hours or so of possible intensification before environmental conditions and inner core dynamics start to play a role in the strength of the cyclone.

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
436. sunlinepr
4:55 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9874
435. whitewabit (Mod)
4:54 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 432. sunlinepr:
Japan, Tokio and Fukushima could be Next...



lets hope for an early turn to the NNE
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 365 Comments: 31753
434. VR46L
4:54 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 430. LargoFl:


That Map looks hopeful for areas in drought but the USA looks much healthier as regards to drought now than it has for a couple of years. Hardly any deep drought at all

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
433. Tornado6042008X
4:54 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 429. whitewabit:


Hoping some of that moisture flow will be brought up into the central part of the US to give us some much needed rain .. the low developing around the 4 corners may do just that ..

only 2.6 inches of rain since the last week in July tells the story here at my place ..
Meanwhile 7.34 inches of rain has fallen here in Herndon, VA since Monday, October 7, 2013. (6 days)
Member Since: March 29, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 334
432. sunlinepr
4:51 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Japan, Tokio and Fukushima could be Next...

Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9874
431. whitewabit (Mod)
4:51 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 430. LargoFl:


the light green area in Illinois is approximate area I live in .. so .10 is all expected ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 365 Comments: 31753
430. LargoFl
4:48 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40978
429. whitewabit (Mod)
4:47 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 425. PedleyCA:


EPAC still in business.


Hoping some of that moisture flow will be brought up into the central part of the US to give us some much needed rain .. the low developing around the 4 corners may do just that ..

only 2.6 inches of rain since the last week in July tells the story here at my place ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 365 Comments: 31753
428. sunlinepr
4:44 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
JMO leaving Pac

Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9874
427. sunlinepr
4:43 PM GMT on October 13, 2013


Click on link then click on any system in the photo

Link
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9874
426. GTstormChaserCaleb
4:42 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 425. PedleyCA:


EPAC still in business.
I'm thinking so long as the EPAC is in business that opens the door for an extended Atlantic Hurricane Season. If this were an actual El-Nino I would believe this season is over, but because it is not, I'm more inclined to lean towards the development of 1-2 storms before the official end of the season.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8677
425. PedleyCA
4:36 PM GMT on October 13, 2013


EPAC still in business.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6003
424. whitewabit (Mod)
4:28 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Wipha

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 365 Comments: 31753
423. hydrus
4:21 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21760
422. GTstormChaserCaleb
4:21 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 420. allancalderini:
It looks like the way we are going,we might get two more storms thanks to the MJO but I would count them strong by any means.Conditions are not that favorable.
I agree with you on both points, Allan. I think a late season Caribbean storm cannot be ruled out, when you get fronts like we have been seeing to push off the East Coast and GOM, you need to watch the tail end of those for any mischief.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8677
421. hydrus
4:20 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21760
420. allancalderini
4:17 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 418. GTstormChaserCaleb:
The season's not over yet.
It looks like the way we are going,we might get two more storms thanks to the MJO but I would count them strong by any means.Conditions are not that favorable.
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 4458
419. Sfloridacat5
4:17 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 412. ackee:
The CSU forecast an active October and November for the Caribbean given what we have seen so far this season what the chance that you guys think we see this forecast happening ?

A MEDIUM
B lOW
c Very Low
D The seasons is probably over


How WOULD you guys rate the major forecasting agent on there early seasons PREDICTION of the 2013 seasons ?

A Good
B medium
C below average
D POOR
E VERY poor



Trump would say, "Your're fired"!
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 8227
418. GTstormChaserCaleb
4:15 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 416. allancalderini:
It has been a pretty boring year in the Atlantic.There were no major hurricanes to track in the Atlantic.Although I am happy that there was not much of disaster cause by tropical cyclones in the Atlantic,with the exception of Mexico.
The season's not over yet.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8677
417. GTstormChaserCaleb
4:13 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 406. CybrTeddy:

Ok help me understand anomaly a little better Cybr, so does this map show the temperatures below normal or the actual air temperature on that day?
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8677
416. allancalderini
4:12 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
It has been a pretty boring year in the Atlantic.There were no major hurricanes to track in the Atlantic.Although I am happy that there was not much of disaster cause by tropical cyclones in the Atlantic,with the exception of Mexico.
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 4458
415. Tropicsweatherpr
4:08 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 412. ackee:
The CSU forecast an active October and November for the Caribbean given what we have seen so far this season what the chance that you guys think we see this forecast happening ?

A MEDIUM
B lOW
c Very Low
D The seasons is probably over


How WOULD you guys rate the major forecasting agent on there early seasons PREDICTION of the 2013 seasons ?

A Good
B medium
C below average
D POOR
E VERY poor



C and C.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14565
414. TropicalAnalystwx13
4:08 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Thanks to Phailin, North Indian Ocean ACE is now 286% (22.89/8) of normal. For contrast, the Atlantic is currently 32% (28.02/88) of normal.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32528
413. VR46L
4:07 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 412. ackee:
The CSU forecast an active October and November for the Caribbean given what we have seen so far this season what the chance that you guys think we see this forecast happening ?

A MEDIUM
B lOW
c Very Low
D The seasons is probably over


How WOULD you guys rate the major forecasting agent on there early seasons PREDICTION of the 2013 seasons ?

A Good
B medium
C below average
D POOR
E VERY poor



D and E

LOL

Bust Season in the Atlantic ....
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
412. ackee
4:03 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
The CSU forecast an active October and November for the Caribbean given what we have seen so far this season what the chance that you guys think we see this forecast happening ?

A MEDIUM
B lOW
c Very Low
D The seasons is probably over


How WOULD you guys rate the major forecasting agent on there early seasons PREDICTION of the 2013 seasons ?

A Good
B medium
C below average
D POOR
E VERY poor

Member Since: July 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1376
411. TropicalAnalystwx13
4:01 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Regardless of whether the center of Wipha stays offshore, eastern Japan will likely see significant impacts due to the storm's massive size.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32528
410. HuracanTaino
4:01 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting stormpetrol:
98L is far from dead, its taking a beating from shear, but appears to have a talent for survival, I wouldn't declare it dead just yet!
Very persistent little bug, if it gets a tiny chance from that shear to lift a little, it could give a surprise. Anyway,interesting to watch....
Member Since: May 31, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 970
409. whitewabit (Mod)
3:58 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Wipha will track very close to Tokyo .. any track movement to the west would be unwelcomed by Japan ..

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 365 Comments: 31753
408. GatorWX
3:56 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Member Since: January 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3784
407. Patrap
3:44 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Nari



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
406. CybrTeddy
3:43 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 404. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


850mb shows quite the blast of cold but it appears not to get all the way to fla more like ga north


Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24478
405. Sfloridacat5
3:42 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 404. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


850mb shows quite the blast of cold but it appears not to get all the way to fla more like ga north



I always remember the weather being nice and warm on Holloween down in my area (Ft. Myers).

I was curious so I checked the history for Ft. Myers on October 31. Average high is 84 for the date.


Mean Temperature
75 F

Max Temperature
84 F

Min Temperature
65 F

Record Low
49 F (1953)

Record High
91 F (1992)


Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 8227
404. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
3:28 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 396. CybrTeddy:
GFS is showing a rather strong blast of cold air hitting the SE United States by the end of the month, we'll see.


850mb shows quite the blast of cold but it appears not to get all the way to fla more like ga north

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54858
403. LargoFl
3:27 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40978
402. GTstormChaserCaleb
3:24 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 396. CybrTeddy:
GFS is showing a rather strong blast of cold air hitting the SE United States by the end of the month, we'll see.
I think the Mid-Atlantic on upward will see effects from the cold blast, especially if a storm system rides up the coast. Skeptical about that cold blast making it all the way through FL. Will probably end up seeing temps in the upper 70s to lower 80s for highs and upper 50s to lower 60s for lows by the end of the month.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8677
401. LargoFl
3:24 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
any chance 98 becomes that weak nor'easter in a week or so?....
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40978
400. whitewabit (Mod)
3:23 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 394. GTstormChaserCaleb:
See you can bust out of a drought without the support of a tropical system.


The Washington area or for that matter the east coast hasn't been in drought conditions ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 365 Comments: 31753
399. LargoFl
3:23 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 398. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
its likely over largo with a chance of a rogue system too spin up from now till end of nov that's about it
yes i think your right keeper..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40978
398. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
3:21 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 393. LargoFl:
GFS doesnt have anything tropical coming our way thru the 29th........
its likely over largo with a chance of a rogue system too spin up from now till end of nov that's about it
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54858
397. GTstormChaserCaleb
3:21 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
Quoting 393. LargoFl:
GFS doesnt have anything tropical coming our way thru the 29th........
Good keep it that way. We don't need no hurricane here with the government in disarray as it is.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8677
396. CybrTeddy
3:21 PM GMT on October 13, 2013
GFS is showing a rather strong blast of cold air hitting the SE United States by the end of the month, we'll see.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24478

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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